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Clement Attlee |
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| Briefly explain what is meant by the term ‘political culture’ used in the extract
The extract states that although a country’s political culture may contain ‘great variety’ or be ‘relatively uniform’ in nature, it is vital to understand the politics in a country to eventually understand ‘the ideas that influence the political behaviour’, this being the political culture. The extract sees the differences amongst various groups in society as defined by region, ethnicity and social class, these factors ultimately defining the voting behaviour of Britain, but also the political culture that this behaviour operates in. The extract also states that ‘older values have been allowed to merge with modern attitudes’, this perhaps alluding to the religious and social pluralism that has become apparent, and the idea that Britain is experiencing a period of ‘post modernism’. The extract gives the example of education levels having risen in Britain so attitudes of deference and respect for authority have declined. Deference is one of the key features of Almond and Verba’s ‘Civic Culture’ a term they used to define the climate of British politics. They argued that British political culture is made up of three attributes, Deference, Consensus and Homogeneity. Although there was substantial evidence at the time for these ideas, for instance the Conservatives accepting the NHS as a success, the idea of a civic culture has since been contested. Denis Kavanagh disagreed with the idea of civic culture in that he felt there was lack of confidence in political institutions, social tension, for instance the rise of the British National party, breakdown of traditional class structures, public apathy with low voting turnouts and the desire for constitutional reform. The arguments of Kavanagh against the idea of a ‘Civic culture’ in Britain are similar to the extract’s idea of ‘older values merging with modern values’ instead of solid deference within Britain. It has been argued that with constitutional reform, the influence of the monarchy has declined which may have had some affect on the current political culture of Britain. While Britain was ruled by a monarchy, the culture of the country would have been very different. It has also been argued that there has been a considerable change to British political culture since the end of the Second World War, the Thatcher era ushering in a breakdown of post war consensus with self reliance, and the glorification of a free market. This was changed again with Blair’s ‘ Third Way’ which accepted rights alongside responsibilities and promoted constitutional reform. Now however Britain is said to be experiencing ‘post modernism’ where political cultures are unavoidably influenced by globalisation and voting behaviour becomes more volatile with partisan dealignment. Although the extract argues that ‘respect for authority has declined’ there is no factual evidence to support this, only using the argument that higher levels of education has encouraged this. It could of course be argued that higher levels of education has in fact re-enforced the concept of authority, seen as all schools operate via a system by where teachers are respected by students. The extract although, highlights the volatility of political culture seen as it has changed over the years, but sees that old values have merged with modern, it could be argued that modern values are completely opposite, for example religion has played a larger role in the past, influencing voting behaviour, but with religious pluralism, these values no longer influence the majority of the electorate. |
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‘Gender, class and age,’ Assess the relative influence of these factors on the involvement of individuals in politics
Gender, class and age can be seen as pivotal factors in determining the political behaviour of individuals. It has often been presumed that sociological factors such as these will ultimately shape voting behaviour despite the arguments that other ideas determine voting including a person’s rational choice or the idea of a dominant ideology that will determine voting patterns. These are strong arguments, but the idea that ‘Gender, class and age’ influence voting behaviour deserves much examination. Although there is evidence of cross-class voting, between 1945 and 1970 there was evidence that supported the theory that a person’s class largely determined how they voted. Nearly two thirds of all voters voted for their ‘natural’ class party this reinforcing the perhaps stereotypical view that most working-class voters opted for Labour while those outside of this class opted for the Conservative party. Since this time, many political scientists including David Denver and Ivor Crewe have claimed that the reverse of this process is now in action across Britain. The idea of ‘class dealignment’ has since become a popular target of debate, arguing that the link between class and voting behaviour has been significantly reduced. Evidence of this can be located with the large increase in the working-class vote for the Conservative party in the general election of 1979, an idea incompatible with the idea of ‘class alignment’. The significance of class within voting behaviour can be examined through the increase in the proportion on votes cast for the Labour party across the general elections of 1987, 1992 and 1997. With the Labour party still on the far left of the party despite the various changes of Kinnock until this point, the party only received 30.8% of the vote against a Conservative majority of 100. The Labour party was able to improve this percentage but only through, as many saw it, moving the principles of the party towards the centre and through this appealing to the middle classes as opposed to simply the working class electorate. In 1997, the Labour party managed to win 43% of the vote and if we accept the idea that Labour here had appealed to the middle classes, which would have perhaps voted for the Conservative party if accepting ‘class alignment’, this is evidence of class dealignment as the voters have switched loyalties. In 2001, the theory that the younger members of the electorate tended to vote for the Labour party and the older members for the Conservative party held true. Forty-seven per cent of voters aged 18-34 chose Labour, while only 29% of these voters opted for the Conservative party. Conversely, only in the above sixty-five bracket did vote for the Conservative party exceed that of Labour. The only party that contravenes this idea is the Liberal Democrats whose support in 2001 was spread fairly across all age brackets. It was the traditional idea that people’s political views became more inclined to the right or the Conservative party with age. This assumption however, was challenged by Butler and Stokes in 1969, when they put forward their ‘generational cohorts’ theory. This theory suggests that most elderly voters required their political preferences from their parents in the early 20 th century when the Labour party was not well established as a credible party of government. Since many of the parents of those who were elderly in 1969 were inclined to the Conservative party and would have transmitted their views to their children which is explanation enough for the reason why many of the elderly in the 1960s were Conservatives. The idea is not that these people grew to be supporters of the Conservative party as this idea would mean that later generations which had been brought up while the Labour was a credible party of government would continue to support Labour in their old age. It was generally accepted that women were more likely to vote for the conservative party than men, as one political scientist put it “There is overwhelming evidence that women are more conservatively inclined than men”. It has been argued that between 1945 and 1966, while men had given the Labour party a victory at every general election, women had only done so twice. By 1997 however, gender differences had all but disappeared and in 2001 men and women voted for the two main parties in identical proportions. It has been suggested that three factors alone account for this disappearance in gender differences. The Labour party has made a conscious effort to appeal to female voters as well as emphasising improvements in education and childcare. Their adoption of ‘positive discrimination’ encouraged many women to stand as MPs and in the election of 1997; many of these women were awarded this role due to the party’s landslide victory. A changing workforce may also account for the disappearance; it was only in the mid 1990s that the number of women in paid employment reached a similar level to that of men. Family and household roles change as more women opt to work outside of the home and this, political scientists suggest, it changing the voting behaviour of women and subsequently Britain. Despite many arguments regarding class, gender and age there is also the factor of region that plays a role within the voting behaviour of Britain. The term ‘North- South Divide’ which rose to popularity during the 1980s, is indicative of segregation within geography, support for the Labour and Conservative party being specific to a part of this divide. Although the divide between the north and south appeared to decline with the results of the elections in the 1990s where support for the Conservative fell sharply in areas where there had been a strong proportion of votes during the 1980s, notably the South East and London. Despite this, there is new evidence to suggest that the North-South divide is returning to British politics. In the south-east and south-west the Conservative party have advanced massively in the past two years, up from 39% to an average of 48%. The evidence of the divide lies in the fact that in the north of the country Conservative support appears to have fallen from 28% to 26%. The picture of Britain now is split across the middle with the south of the country favouring the Cameron leadership of the Conservative party and the north of the country that largely rejects the party. Perhaps it could be argued that due to Labour’s losses in both Scotland and Wales the idea of a north-south divide is one dimensional, the south in some cases fond of the Brown government. Many argue that besides regional differences, there are other factors including ethnicity, religion, issues and political models that should be incorporated. Although studies show that the majority of black and Asian people vote for the Labour party, different levels of support have been noted within each of these groups. In 1997 there was a 16% difference between Asian and black support for the Labour party, in an earlier study there was marked higher levels of support for the Conservative party among East African Asians than among those from the Indian sub-continent. Although this could be considered a major factor, ethnicity is generally related to other factors, most often religion, because of its persuasions in this area. Despite the apparent decline of religion in Britain, religious denomination or identification continues to bear some relationship to party choice. The Church of England, closely identified with the political establishment, has been described as the ‘Tory party at prayer’. Non-Christians, those with no religion and Roman Catholics appear to support Labour in much greater numbers than the other parties, while the Conservative party receives more support from Anglicans than from other groups. Some political scientists have argued that the outcome of elections is dependent on a rational analysis of the party’s positions on a range of principles, issues and current policies. The commentator Dorey argues that, since 1970 issue voting has increased in importance both in terms of ‘saliency’ and in terms of which party is seen to have the best policies on the salient issues. With the Conservative party, it is obvious that the party has incorporated the ‘green’ policies in order to appeal to voters on this level. The party is also strong with ‘family values’, something that appeals to most of the electorate in that it is a unit that everyone is involved in. Surely the factors of issues and rational choice must have some impact on voting behaviour? Political commentators have for a considerable period of time remarked on increasing ‘volatility’ within British politics and there is evidence for a decline in support for the Labour party due to the Iraq war which is of course compatible with the idea of issue voting. There are of course several voting models that many see to affect the voting behaviour of individuals. There exists the social structures model which is inclusive of sociological factors such as class, gender and age, but there is also the dominant ideology model, the party identification model and the aforementioned rational choice model. Each of these models hold strong arguments, the dominant ideology model arguing that the establishment ultimately influences attitudes and behaviour within politics. The party identification model arguing that a voter’s psychological attachment will define outcome and the ration choice model seeing that issues will ultimately sway outcome. Despite these arguments, it could be accepted of course that a mixture of these models can successfully explain voting behaviour as there are numerous similarities. Gender, age and class clearly have an influence over the voting behaviour of Britain. Much evidence exists to support this idea, particularly the social structures model which includes sociological factors such as these and sees them as the most important when defining voting behaviour. There is much evidence however, to suggest that these factors may have been more relevant some years back, seen as now Britain is experiencing an era of ‘post modernism’, perhaps the voting behaviour of Britain is changing also. These factors also may have more importance depending on the type of voter, for instance those who believe that the class system is important and should be retained may be more influenced by the class they are in, this ultimately determining their voting behaviour. The majority of evidence concerning gender, class and age and their influence over voting behaviour appears to have been stronger in the past, for instance in 1967 it was stated that “There is overwhelming evidence that women are more conservatively inclined than men”, now however, votes are spread fairly equally across parties. Despite this, there is still substantial evidence that supports the argument that younger voters are more inclined to the left, 47% of voters aged 18-34 voting Labour while those in the above sixty-five bracket, voting for the Conservatives more than for the Labour party in 2001. With class, like gender, the relationship between it and voting behaviour appears to be at its weakest, however, this may not necessarily endorse the class-dealignment idea. Voters may in fact be changing their behaviour because the policies on offer from the prospective parties have changed considerably. Despite this, there is still evidence that supports the traditional view that most working-class voters will opt for Labour while the middle classes are inclined to the Conservative party. |
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Briefly explain what is meant by the term ‘political culture’ used in the extract.
In this extract, the term ‘political culture’ is used to mean the set of values which are unique to a country in the way they operate politics, referring mainly in this context to how they ‘influence the political behaviour of individuals.’ The extract argues that these individuals can be identified by differences in ‘region, ethnicity or social class’ (but questionably makes no reference to gender, age or education) and this is what results in a society consisting of ‘various groups’. The extract makes reference to the fact that a country’s political culture can ‘contain great variety’ or be ‘relatively uniform in nature’ but gives no examples to back up its claim. It could have used the example of Britain whose political culture has changed dramatically since the 1970s from the individualist Thatcher era, where the government was concerned with self-reliance, enterprise and market values, through to Blair’s New Labour. His government aimed to put more emphasis on responsibilities, modernise Britain’s political culture and succeeded with introducing a path between traditional socialism and Thatcherite individualism (The Third Way). Today, in what is now known as the post-modern era, Britain’s political culture revolves around a pluralist and culturally diverse population who have come to see the effects of globalisation and are now concerned with new issues such as environmental pollution and climate change. The extract mentions the decline of ‘deference and respect for authority’ in Britain, as a consequence to rising ‘education levels’ and this is known as civic culture. The extract argues that Britain’s civic culture is declining which is in accordance with Denis Kavanagh (1983) who argues that the key characteristics (defined by political commentators Almond and Verba) of a civic culture - deference, consensus, and homogeneity – are no longer really present in Britain as people have become increasingly dissatisfied with their government and there are ‘greater social tensions’ between social groups (for example the 1981 Brixton race riots or the existence of the British Nation Party which is profoundly racist.) Evidence that Kavanagh and the extract are correct in saying that Britain’s civic culture is waning, comes from such things as increasing public apathy (suggesting a lack of support for authority and the establishment) and the increasing crime rate (levels of violent crime increased by 35% from 2004-2005 alone. I.D. |
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‘Gender, class and age’. Assess the relative influence of these factors on the involvement of individuals in politics.
Gender, class and age, play a large part on the involvement of the individual in politics, for example it can be argued that older people are increasingly more likely to vote as they see the act of voting as more of a tradition to be upheld than younger people. Class is also an important factor as traditionally, politics has always been seen as run by middle and upper class people (who got their education from Westminster or Eton like Conservative leader David Cameron) rather than those belonging to the working class. Gender must also be taken into account as women have only been allowed to participate in politics relatively recently, beginning with their being granted suffrage (for women over 30 anyway) in 1918. However other factors, such as education, ethnicity and the region in which someone lives must also be taken into account as they also play a significant role in an individual’s involvement in politics. In 2005, just 19.7% of MPs (127 individuals) elected to Parliament were female which is completely unproportional to the amount of women they need to represent (49.76% of the total population are female) and despite women being able to stand for election since 1918, Britain has only ever seen one female prime minister, Margaret Thatcher. The lack of women involved in Britain’s government can be seen as an incentive for many to get involved and work to represent their gender, however politics has always traditionally been seen as the forte of men who sometimes make it difficult for women to succeed (even putting a ‘glass ceiling’ in place which prevents women succeeding beyond a certain level) and deter many from even trying. This may help to explain Britain’s fall from 27 th place (in 1999) to 47 th place (in 2002) in the international league table for the representation of women in the lower or single chambers of national Parliaments (Longmate 2003). Women are being encouraged to partake in politics by some organisations however, such as the Labour party and the Welsh Assembly who have questioningly introduced ‘positive discrimination’ e.g. in the form of all women shortlists, to make it easier for women to become elected and make their representation in government fairer. Class is certainly an influential factor in the involvement of individuals in politics. Political parties often target certain social classes to try and gain the most votes e.g. traditionally Labour have always targeted the working class but the move to New Labour in recent years has seen them target the broader middle class as there are more votes to be gained there (their share of the vote increased from 34% in the 1992 general election to 43% in 1997). This was also the case for Conservative leader Margaret Thatcher who aimed policies such as tax cuts at the working class and as a result gained more votes. This seems to suggest that someone’s class greatly affects how they will vote (class alignment) and this is represented in the social structures model. According to this model, someone who is working class is more likely to vote Labour compared to someone who is non-working class, as they will probably vote Conservative. Evidence for this theory is that nearly two thirds of the electorate voted for their ‘natural’ class party between 1945 and 1970. In the 2001 British Election Study, it was found that 76% if 65+ aged people voted compared to just 40% of 25-34 year olds. This clearly shows that older generations are more likely to vote than younger people who are becoming increasingly apathetic towards voting. For pensioners, voting is more of a tradition for them and as the majority are retired, they have more time to worry about issues concerning them such as the state pension, council tax and the NHS which therefore encourages them to vote. For a lot of younger people, they are too busy working and bringing up families to care much about turning up to voting stations where their vote, should they cast it, is more than likely not to count anyway due to Britain’s first-past-the-post voting system. As well as gender, class and age, the issue of education in influencing the individual’s role in politics, is significant. This is because in a child’s life, they will spend 15,000 hours at school and so the education they receive will play a key role in their political socialisation. According to the primacy model, people are most easily influenced when they are children and according to some research, children have obtained a sense of party loyalty, national identity and have some political knowledge by the time they are 10 or 11 years old and have therefore been in school for at least five years. However, it can be easily argued that very little of the time children are in school is spent on learning about politics or political issues and so education does not play a major part in an individual’s involvement in politics. Ethnicity is another factor which may influence an individual’s political involvement and should be taken into account. Currently, there are very few non-white people in British Parliament, in fact in 2001, only 12 of the 650 seats available were taken by people from black or Asian backgrounds. The situation is not much fairer in European Parliament where there are only 9 MEPs from non-white backgrounds out of 785 representatives (and over half of these are British.) This evidence suggests that non-white people are seriously underrepresented in British (and European) politics. As with the factor of gender, being underrepresented may encourage more people from ethnic minorities to get involved in politics or, it could be argued, it may intimidate them from getting involved as it seems untraditional and also difficult for non-white people to be successful in politics. Many would argue that racism is still prevalent in Britain today (there are statistics to back this up for example, black and Asian people are eight times more likely to be stopped and searched compared to white people) and this is the reason why many non-white people are deterred from becoming active in politics. The fact that racist parties, such as the BNP, exist may also be a reason for discouraging people from ethnic minorities from being politically active. Despite there being talks about doing more to encourage racially different people from getting involved in the running of the country (suggestions have also been made about the controversial policy of positive discrimination), there has been little improvement, for example, Britain had three Afro-Caribbean Labour MPs in 1989 and 17 years later, this number has only increased to four. It seems racism and lack of encouragement are seriously affecting the individual’s involvement in British politics today. Regional differences may also affect how involved with their country’s politics a person may be. For instance, the emerging ‘North-South divide’ in Britain shows that region seriously affects the way people vote e.g. people in Scotland and Wales are far less likely to vote Labour, evident from the fact that support there has dwindled from 43% to 36%, as more Scottish people than ever are voting for the Scottish National Party. However, people in the South East and South West, people are much more likely to vote for the Conservative party who have advanced from 39% to 48%. On the other hand, people in the North are far more likely to vote for the Liberal Democrats. This evidence would make it appear that Britain’s population are more likely to vote a certain way depending on the region in which they live which means that regional differences play a large part in the political behaviour of the electorate. Having assessed the influence of gender, class and age as well as the factors of education, ethnicity and regional differences, there are some conclusions which can now be made about the extent of the influence of each of these factors. Gender does seem to affect the individual’s involvement in politics as slowly, more women are getting involved in politics, helped largely through all women shortlists which haves seen great success such as in the Welsh Assembly where 50% of MPs are now female. However, more needs to be done to encourage women to partake in politics if they are to eventually represent all British women proportionally. Gender seems to be an important factor in an individual’s political involvement, but not more important than class. There has been evidence of class alignment under the social structures model which shows that the majority of people have, in recent years, voted for their ‘natural’ class party e.g. Labour for the working class and Conservative for the middle class. This shows that when assessing the influence of certain factors, class is certainly significant as there is strong evidence that it affects the way people vote and therefore how political parties will brand themselves. The fact that there is a model for this theory is supporting evidence too. Age is also hugely important as worrying evidence from the British Election Study and Age Concern shows that increasingly, there are more older people voting than younger people. This also makes it appear that older people are more interested in politics and therefore more likely to become actively involved with it. According to the recency model, education is also an important factor as people are most influential at a young age and therefore how involved they will be with politics in later life, stems from their childhood. However, this factor is not as significant as that of class for example (which has strong supporting evidence) as out of all the time children spend at school, a very small amount (if any) is spent studying their country’s politics. The factor of ethnicity may also affect an individual’s involvement in politics, for example the fact that non-white people are seriously underrepresented in Parliament maybe a factor to encourage them to get more involved however this is countered with the fact that there is still a lot of racism in Britain today and racist parties do not help to encourage more people from ethnic minorities to be politically active. Regional differences are more likely to affect an individual as there is so much evidence to suggest that region strongly affects which political party members of the electorate will be more inclined to vote for. E.B. |
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Explain the term ‘grey’ voters used in the extract. The extract uses the term ‘grey’ voters to refer to the section of the electorate who are more advanced in years, particularly the over sixty fives. The extract presents the argument that traditionally older people are more likely to vote Conservative, as with age comes an increase in wealth and property which leaves one less reliant on the welfare state, which in turn leads to a Conservative leaning. However it also states that Conservative support appears to be diminishing amongst the grey voters, as in 1997 the grey vote provided a ten point lead over Labour, whereas by 2001 lead had halved to 5 points. Some commentators may argue that this because of the ‘generational cohorts’ model. The model states that people born in the same era are likely to vote similarly as they generally hold the same values. Their political preferences are then passed on to their children and this continues until a different party becomes more favourable and the voting behaviour changes. Therefore where the ‘grey’ vote was traditionally Conservative, it may be that that generation had simple always voted this way, not that they had decided to vote Conservative as they grew older. This may explain why the Tory grey vote is now waning; as a new generation of voters moves through the system. The ‘grey’ vote is presently something that any party in, or running for, government must pay particular attention to. It is increasingly evident that the over sixty fives are more likely to vote, as they still regard it as their civic duty whereas younger people are more likely to feel apathetic towards voting and have yet to build party loyalties. A survey for Age Concern showed that 69% of the over 55s said they always vote in a general election compared to just 17% of 18 to 24 year olds. Also Britain currently has an ageing population, which means that there are a greater number of older people than younger that make up the populace. This is because life expectancy has increased and people are waiting longer to have children. These factors combined mean that the grey vote is potentially very powerful as pensioners can effectively create a block vote on issues that affect them, such as the NHS. This means than they can almost form their own pressure group to get their opinions heard and accounted for. |
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‘Contemporary voting behaviour is largely issue- based’ Discuss. Contemporary voting behaviour can be influenced by many different factors. Some argue that it is the social factors that will affect voting behaviour rather than something like the influence of the media or party image. One claim is that voting has become issue based, that is, people vote according to a party’s stance on a particular salient issue. However there is evidence that contradicts this theory, along with other voting factors that need to be explored. The argument for issue based voting stems from the break down of traditional influences on voting behaviour. Whereas in the past people may have chosen who to vote for based on the party they felt was most suitable for them to vote for, in other words, who they thought social factors dictated they should vote for, or from some psychological attachment that means they consistently identify with a particular party, these things are now less likely to influence voting behaviour. Identification with a party involves more than just voting for it, it means that a person will consistently vote for that party as they believe they represent their own values. In 1964 48% of Conservative voters and 51% of Labour voters identified ‘very strongly’ with their party. In 1992 this had fallen so that only 21% and 24% of respective voters felt this way. The figures for the Liberal Democrats for the same period reveal a similar pattern with figures falling from 32% to just 8% strongly identifying with the party. If the electorate no longer identify with a particular party then they must find some other way to decide on their vote. Similarly there is an increasing trend for partisan dealignment. This is where people no longer consistently vote for one party that they may perhaps feel naturally aligned to. This could be for a number of reasons. Firstly, many commentators notice a link between party dealignment and class dealignment. If people no longer associate themselves with a certain class, they may also no longer vote according to traditional class loyalties, such as working class for Labour. Secondly, if education regarding politics improves then people are more likely to make rational choices based on policy rather than emotions. Political coverage is now more widespread so people can gain a more comprehensive overview of the different options open to them. Also with the media becoming more satirical in their coverage of politics then people may become more contemptuous of the voting system. Finally, partisan dealignment may have increased due to ideological disjuncture, where policies or ideals are abandoned for values that may not be in line with what the supporters view are the traditional values of a party. Currently the Conservative party is becoming progressively more central in their ideology, which may alienate some supporters. These factors mean that votes need to be based on something else. Voters now seem increasingly interested in what party’s stances are on the issues of the day. In 1997 Labour chose to focus on several key issues during their election campaign. These were health, law and order, and pensions. The electorate ranked these issues highly in a list of things that were currently concerning them. Contrarily, the Conservatives highlighted the issues of trade unions and devolution, giving a larger share of power to Scotland and Wales. These were not things that the electorate were exceptionally interested in. Labour went on to win the general election. There was a similar occurrence in the 2001 election, where Labour benefited from voter saliency, that is, the issues voters identified as most important, whereas the Tories did not. They chose to focus on immigration and Britain’s relationship with Europe, and these were issues that ranked 9 th and 10 th in a list of eleven issues the voters felt were important. On the other hand Labour continued to focus on the NHS and law and order, which respectively 89% and 82% of voters ranked as important. Issue saliency works in favour for Labour as their traditional values such as focus on the welfare state and education, are issues that the electorate are always going to regard as important. Also, as they move away from their traditional left wing stance and start encompassing a wider range of views, such as stricter policy on law and order, they can ‘steal’ policies that would conventionally be the preserve of the Conservatives. This means they cover a greater number of salient issues and can appeal to more people. The avoidance of salient issues provides further evidence that it had become a large influence on voting behaviour. During the 2001 election campaign Labour addressed the issue of joining the euro by promising to call a referendum after the election. Other than this they did not focus on the issue, which is one that causes much debate. By not committing they prevented the loss of opposing voters. More recent evidence that issues influences voting comes from the 2005 election. Following the Iraq war, Labour lost a lot of support, particularly from the Muslim community. George Galloway left the Labour party because of his opposition to the war and formed his own party Respect. He launched a single issue campaign for the Bethnal Green and Bow seat in East London, promoting his anti war viewpoint. This constituency holds 45000 Muslim residents so it was a shrewd choice of seat. Needless to say he won the position, ousting Labour MP Oona King. This shows how targeting the right people wit the right issue can influence voting behaviour. Another aspect of voting behaviour that links with issue based voting revolves around perceptions of party competency. People can base their vote on how well they perceive a party will raise their standard of living. This perception can be based on their handling of a particular issue, mainly the economy. There are two models that deal with party perception. The first is the prospective model. According to this, people vote depending how well they perceive a party will manage the economy in the future. This is not based on prior performance but on current performance. For instance, in the 1992 election campaign, the Conservatives launched an attack on Labour for their reputation of high taxation and past poor economic record. This created the impression that the Conservatives would more competently manage the economy and they won the election. Therefore their handling of the issue of the economy influenced voting behaviour. Alternatively people may vote according to the retrospective model. This states that people base their vote on past performance of a party. They can therefore make decisions based on hard evidence on party performance on an issue, again usually the economy. For example, between the 1992 and 1997 elections the Conservatives lost the good reputation regarding the economy. They made a major mistake that cost the country millions of pounds on ‘Black Wednesday’. Therefore when the 1997 election came around they were no longer trusted with economy and were replaced by Labour. There are, however, problems with issue based voting that may render it a poor model for contemporary voting. An issue may be salient but there may not be enough difference in party policy to distinguish who to vote for. One may also be undecided on where they stand on an issue because of the way the media manipulates public opinion. One could have a strong viewpoint one day but the have it weakened by a different presentation of the facts. It is also unlikely that a vote would be based totally on one issue. This is perhaps more probable in a local election but in a general election one needs to consider how well a party will run the country. Also it is more likely that one will be influenced by a range of factors, whether consciously or not, such as party image and leadership, that will draw them to a party, rather than just policy on one issue. There are problems when people are elected to seat purely on a single issue as well. Once that issue resolves itself or is no longer relevant, the basis for the seat is lost and the person may no longer be able to represent his voters. For instance in the case of Martin Bell, who won a seat in Tatton due to an anti sleaze campaign in 1997, but lost his contention for a seat in Brentwood because the campaign no longer interested voters. If a seat is won purely for one issue, the needs of the electorate may not be fully considered. To return to the example of George Galloway and Bethnal Green, he ousted a very dedicated MP in Oona King, who was very in tune with the needs of her constituents. He did not represent the people as well as she did and this shows how issue based voting is not always positive. There are also totally different explanations for voting behaviour. The dominant ideology model suggests that powerful groups in society, collectively the ‘Establishment’, such as the mass media and political leaders influence voting. There is evidence that the party bias of the press can influence which way the public swing. Throughout the 90’s, the press remained loyal to the Conservatives. At the 1992 election Linton found that 70% of the press were favouring the Tories, whereas only 27% supported Labour. This was reflected in the election results. However in 1997 there was a notable switch of position. Eleven of the national newspapers openly supported Labour which was three more than the Conservative received. The Sun. which is the most read newspaper in Britain, was the most active champion, giving Tony Blair plenty of coverage. Once Labour won the election he thanked them for their ‘magnificent support’. It was suggested at the time that Blair had made an arrangement with the owner of the newspaper, Rupert Murdoch, to guarantee the Sun’s support in exchange for continuous freedom of the press. Whether this was in fact the case is irrelevant, that it was considered true suggest just how powerful the media is. Another study by Linton showed that Labour have never won an election when the Tories have had a more than 18% lead on share of press coverage. Public broadcasters are legally obliged to be politically neutral. Yet during the 2001 election the two main parties received, on average, more than 12% more coverage than the Liberal Democrats. The government of the day also seems to be at an advantage. In 2001 Labour received the most television coverage at 36.1% over the Tory 34.3%. They were re-elected. All this suggests that the media has bias even when it is not supposed to. In a time of voting volatility where there is no longer much evidence of partisan alignment, this media bias is more likely to sway voting behaviour as the voters are open to persuasion due to indecision. In conclusion, there are many arguments for different factors that influence contemporary voting. The diminishing factors of partisan dealignment and party identification due to a more educated electorate and ideological disjuncture mean that the voters need to base their decision on other factors. Issue saliency can determine voter preference as people vote for parties that are focusing on issues that concern them , so they feel their needs are being respected. Parties can avoid difficult issues on favour of ones that they know will attract voters, such as the NHS. Issue based campaigns can be effective if used widely to target the right demographic, George Galloway targeted Muslim voters to support his anti war stance. People may vote according to perceived competency for handling a particular issue or on past history for dealing with it, as demonstrated in the Prospective and Retrospective models. However there are problems with issue based voting, such as the longevity of saliency and single issue seats. It is also unrealistic to base a vote purely on one issue as there are many policies that need to me considered before choosing a party. Factors such as the influence of the mass media seemingly manipulate voter’s opinions and party image and leadership can also effect perceptions. Therefore although issues may play some part in how we vote, it seems that there is a far wider scale to contemporary voting, I.G. |
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Student studied the socio-economic background of typical MPs and produced a podcast to try to encourage greater diversity. |
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Explain the term backbenchers used in the extract. A member of parliament that does not hold governmental office or is not a Front Bench spokesperson for the opposition is known as a backbencher. Backbenchers are MPs or legislatures who have not been selected to sit in the cabinet or Shadow Cabinet for any number of reasons, possibly because they have yet to be selected or have been dropped from government. Because of this – and as the extract suggests – backbenchers tend to follow their party’s policies in order to gain their leadership’s favour, in the hope of obtaining a place in office. Whilst it is tempting to cite Clare Short as a rebellious backbench MP, one must remember that Short left the Labour party to become an independent MP, thus relinquishing the requisite to follow her party unquestioningly. However, it is true that, unlike the source indicates, backbenchers are not always puppets for their parties – for example, backbencher Robert Marshall-Andrews voted against the Iraq war in 2003, despite being a Labour MP. Backbenchers play a fundamental role if their party experiences a fundamental split over a certain issue – it is then that the votes of backbenchers become vital. The extract does not touch on the fact that backbenchers may be influenced by the lobbying of backbench committees – 61% of pressure groups believe that influence of party committees is useful to their cause; and although this influence over policies is indirect, it is very much present. One must also consider whether a backbencher votes according to their conscience as the trustee model suggests, according to their constituents as the delegate model suggests, or according to their party as the mandate model suggests. Whilst the extract errs toward the mandate model, one could argue that a backbencher has more reasons to vote than simply for promotion – they may vote according to their morals, or even according to their constituents as they have voted them into Parliament. |
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“Parliament usually supports the actions and policies of the government of the day.” Discuss. When considering the actions of Parliament, one must clearly distinguish between the House of Commons and the House of Lords, and the limitations inflicted upon both; in the current democratic system, is Parliament being given a just opportunity to challenge the executive? The House of Commons can theoretically demonstrate power against the executive, and is able to scrutinise legislation; however, the ability of MPs to oppose the government is limited when one considers the use of whips. Whilst a one-line whip does not require attendance, a three-line whip necessitates attendance; and under a two-line whip, MPs can only abstain if they pair up with another likeminded MP or have their constituency week during that particular vote. If an MP acts against a three-line whip, they may have their whip withdrawn – effectively meaning they are thrown out of the party. The most alarming instance of this was in 1994, when 8 Conservative MPs were ousted from their party when they voted against a Bill concerning increased contribution to the EU. This suggests a startlingly undemocratic approach – MPs are not truly free to vote, as they face being expelled from their party if they disagree with a motion. So one could say that MPs in the Commons may obey the government of the day in the pursuit of promotion, as rebellion would result in the loss of their position – and this is supported by the fact that rebellious MP Clare Short became an independent MP. Conversely, whips do not carry the same gravity in the House of Lords. This is because even if a Lord’s whip is withdrawn, they may still stand for election – party support is far less significant in the Lords, with no official party loyalties in place. Concerning opposition of the government, one of the House of Lords’ main abilities is to delay the passing of a Bill for up to two years; it also possesses a total veto over proposals concerning the life of a Parliament. Because it tends to receive Bills that have already been passed through the Commons, the House of Lords examines Bills in more detail in order to check for issues that may have been overlooked; as such, it may pass amendments before sending a Bill back to the House of Commons. However, this power is limited – the government’s majority in the Commons enables it to reject any unwanted changes made to particular clauses. Another limitation was proposed by Lord Salisbury in 1945, and is now known as the Salisbury Convention – this entails that a Bill cannot be rejected at its second or third reading if it is part of the governing party’s manifesto. Within the Commons, Private Members’ Bills enable MPs to propose their own objectives; objectives that the government may or may not agree with. The efficiency of this system is questionable, however – between 1983 and 2002, only 12% of these Bills were passed. The most successful form of a Private Members’ Bill is the Ballot Bill, which involves the drawing of 20 MPs names from a ballot held at the beginning of each parliamentary session; however, time can be limited due to the discussion of Bills already being considered. The timing of these is also debatable – given that most MPs return to their constituencies on the Thursday, it seems odd to schedule discussion of Ballot Bills for the next day. MPs that outline their potential Bills under the Ten Minute Rule generally do so for publicity, instead of striving for actual legislation – thus these Bills do not directly effect change. As such, any change brought about using this type of Private Members’ Bill will not be done through official political channels; rather, it would be brought about thanks to the input of the public or media. If a Bill has already been passed through the necessary steps in the House of Lords, an MP may introduce it into the House of Commons – however, the likelihood of a Bill being passed within the parliamentary session is unlikely, due to the time this approval would take. The likelihood of a Bill being passed when introduced under Standing Order No.57 is possibly even more doubtful – during discussions scheduled on the Friday, Ballot Bills are given considerable priority in terms of time. Thus it typically depends on restrictions of time as to whether a Private Members’ Bill will have effect – suggesting that MPs are not given sufficient opportunity to challenge the executive. However, Private Members’ Bills can have some impact, even if they are not successful – Michael Foster’s Ballot Bill concerning a ban on foxhunting did not succeed, but did pass in its second reading with 411 in favour to 151 against; furthermore, it triggered actions on the government’s part that resulted in a foxhunting ban in 2005. However, in this case one could argue that the Bill only brought about changes because the government agreed with its basic policy – Bills allow the government to pass reforms that could be damaging to be linked directly to, for example the lowering of the age of consent for homosexuals to 18. As such, it can depend on governmental policy as to whether a Bill has influence or not. The House of Commons is also given the ability to form or consult committees when considering legislation. Standing committees consist of members from different parties, which are chosen by senior members on the Committee of Selection – these standing committees debate possible amendments achievable within a Bill’s basic standards, as outlined at the second reading. However, such amendments tend to fail; changes to clauses will usually be whipped in the House of Commons. The government can also apply the guillotine, meaning the institution of a time limit if agreement with the Opposition cannot be reached conventionally. In light of such potentially undemocratic means, Norton suggests four possible reforms for standing committees. The first of these is the timetabling of the standing committees, which would render application of the guillotine unnecessary – and since 2002, the ability to timetable has been available. Norton also suggests the permanence of standing committees, which would enable them to build up greater expertise for the consideration of bills; furthermore, Norton proposes the idea that a Bill’s passage should precede its second reading – thus enabling a broader discussion without the hindrance of underlying principles. Finally, Norton suggests that standing committees should be crossed with select committees and be able to question witnesses and debate particular clauses of a Bill – such an approach would mean outside groups could bear more open influence. These ‘special standing committees’ have been utilised, but only over uncontroversial Bills. The other type of committee made available to the Commons is the select committee, which may either be departmental or non-departmental; both can take evidence in either written or oral form, which leads to the formulation of a report intended for the Commons. The Public Accounts Committee is a non-departmental committee set up in 1861; it assesses the government’s accounts and checks that the spending of money is authorised – this illustrates the importance of such committees in terms of the government’s actions. A non-departmental select committee can be set up to investigate a particular problem with the government. It is a departmental select committees job to scrutinise a government department’s expenditure and policies; and by the end of 2003, 18 departmental committees had been set up. Party whips can continue to demonstrate control by influencing who takes the 11 places available in a departmental select committee; however, they – alongside frontbench Opposition members and government ministers – cannot attend. As with Private Members’ Bills, a huge restriction on the power of departmental select committees is that of time; however, they may request the evidence of people or records during their examination – though the efficiency of this is debatable, as witnesses and ministers often fail to give simple answers. Furthermore, departmental select committees are given little access to legal assistance, and are often influenced by party bias; a report may even fail to be discussed in the House at all. Although the government allowed for the committees to access extra resources, it rejected proposals for the reduction of the power of party whips, as well as the ability for the full House to ask questions concerning reports. So one can conclude that Parliament does, on the whole, appear to support the government – however, one must also consider the constraints in place upon members of the Houses of Parliament. With increased resources and a more suitably democratic approach, Parliament may be given more opportunities to effectively question the government; thus the proposed reforms must be taken extremely seriously. A.T. |
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“The power of both Prime Ministers and Presidents varies according to circumstances and personalities.” Discuss. The power of a leader is undoubtedly influenced by their public position; without popularity and indeed, fortunate circumstances, a prime minister or president will find exerting power difficult. However, this is not merely within the context of public perception: indeed, the different powers that both prime ministers and presidents can exert must also be considered. As such, one must make the connection between personality, circumstance and the underlying powers themselves – whether popularity directly affects the power of a leader differs, depending on the power being considered. Of course, George Bush can be cited as the most recent case of a personality-based presidency. He is, as described by Telegraph journalist Dominic Cavendish, “God’s gift to comedy”; certainly, the American public are familiar with satirical pokes at the president and infamous ‘Bushisms’, with various faux pas catching the media’s attentive eye. Yet it is not only personality that has shaped George W Bush’s two terms as president – indeed, circumstances played a monumental role in both the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections. Bush’s authority was damaged due to the confusion surrounding the Florida ballots in 2000; as such, he was not taken to be a wholly legitimate president by many, and so found his position in office somewhat weakened. However, it was also due to circumstance that Bush managed to win back the American public by his 2004 re-election: after the terrorist attacks of 2001, Bush was seen to deliver the force necessary to defend the US against terrorist attack. An in-depth look at Bush’s presidency after the terrorist attacks does indeed unearth a considerable increase in power. He was able to launch an attack on Afghanistan without a formal declaration of war from Congress; the checks that may have been provided by the Supreme Court were not, as the Court asserted it would look sympathetically upon violations of constitutional rights – it would do so, it said, in the interest of public safety. Congress went on to pass the controversial Patriot Act for the president, which would allow FBI agents to access email and telephone communications – this legislation came under fire from groups such as the American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU), who insisted it violated constitutional rights of those being investigated. Although this is not as directly evident in the role of prime minister, PMs have had to rely on circumstances to see them through elections – indeed, Blair’s landslide victory in the 1997 election was part prowess, but also part frustration with the previous government; moreover, his personality proved to be a stark contrast to that of Major – and indeed, many believed that Major should have been ousted in the 1992 election, had it not been for a lack of support for Kinnock. However, the powers of the prime minister and president are far more deeply rooted than superficial personality. It is important for the PM to retain the support of his party’s backbenchers, for example; without this, his authority can be harmed – for example, Geoffrey Howe delivered a damaging resignation speech in the House of Commons, in which he likened working under Thatcher to entering a cricket match to find your bat “broken… by the team captain”. It is widely asserted that it was this speech that led to Thatcher’s own resignation, with Michael Heseltine announcing he would stand against her in a leadership ballot the very next day. If displeased with the direction of leadership, a backbencher may stand against the PM for party leadership – and although it is unlikely that they would win, such events would be detrimental to the prime minister’s authority. This need for support can be found in the presidential system, with reference to checks and balances. For example, although the president has the enormous power to veto legislation, Congress can ultimately override this ability – indeed, President Clinton was refused two vetoes in his time in power. Moreover, Congress controls the budget allowed for the president, and also has the ability to investigate him as member of the executive; this power was exercised by Congress when looking into Bush’s actions around 11 th September 2001. The Senate also has the ability to remove a president from office, whereas a president cannot do the same to a Senator. Thus although personality certainly affects the authority of a figure, it simply cannot wholly determine it – indeed, even popular President Bill Clinton felt the wrath of the legislature, if not completely; although he was eventually acquitted by the Senate, it is important to note that he was impeached by the House of Representatives in 1998. The president and PM are, however, accountable in the public eye for nearly any party mishap. Indeed, the recent loss of a disc containing 25 million child benefit records has been attributed to Gordon Brown, who apologised for the error and appeared to take responsibility under pressure – whilst head of the party, it was not Brown’s sole responsibility to look after such matters; yet the attacks of Cameron on his apparent shortcomings illustrate that it is the PM who becomes accountable. The situation is the same in the United States – incidents in Iraq are directly attributed to Bush, as well as failures after Hurricane Katrina due to his powerful position; President Nixon observed this responsibility in a plaque on his desk which read “the buck stops here”. Of course, in terms of power, presidents and prime ministers are not – despite some beliefs – absolute autocrats; careful consideration must be made of those politicians surrounding them. For example, prime ministers have come to rely increasingly special advisors: in 1990 there were only five, but by March 2002 this figure had rocketed to 81; it is these advisors’ jobs to keep the PM informed of governmental departments, thereby also alleviating the dependence on civil servants. Jonathan Powell was noted to be a “US-style” Chief of Staff to Tony Blair, and in both the Hutton and Butler reports it was suggested that he was too informal – critics labelled his communications with Blair as “sofa government”, due to the relaxed style of meetings with no proper notes being taken. Alastair Campbell also exercised a close relationship with Blair through his role as spin doctor; he managed communications with the media, and as such played a crucial role in the presentation of Blair’s personality – it was due to Campbell’s prowess with PR that Blair’s fresh personality was so successfully transmitted. In the US, such advisors arguably take the shape of the Executive Office of the President (EXOP); most crucially, through the key EXOP agency of the White House Staff. The body was originally set up to aid the president in the daily business of running the country; however, it is now a means by which the president can keep governmental departments under control. Interestingly, membership is generally dependent on loyalty: Carter’s ‘Georgia Mafia’ White House Staff consisted of all individuals that had helped in his campaigns for power, two of Reagan’s senior staff had worked for him when Governor of California, and Bush has likewise surrounded himself with those who have worked with him previously. In their most basic form, the cabinets of both countries serve totally different purposes for their respective leaders: US cabinet meetings are much less frequent, with the number even decreasing as a presidency goes on; indeed, the meetings themselves are not for decision making, but discussion. This differs to the traditional view that cabinet meetings in the UK are of fundamental importance – indeed, in 1991 John Major used the Cabinet to reach decisions concerning the Gulf War. However, more recently this view has been countered, with the notion of an increasingly autocratic PM – critics state that the UK cabinet has not decided policy for a considerably long time, and that instead, the PM turns to Cabinet Committees, the Policy Unit, Think Tanks and bilateral meetings in order to formulate policy. Only after consultation with these bodies will the PM present already shaped policy to the Cabinet; as such, it can be said that the cabinet has become little more than the PM’s ‘rubber stamp’ on policy. This would liken the UK cabinet to its US counterpart: the idea, as foreseen by The Times in 1968, that cabinet is for “keeping [busy] people in touch” seems much more like the US system – a system that US cabinet officers have asserted is ultimately pointless. The British system also differs through its use of reshuffles – unlike in the US cabinet, cabinet colleagues are not given the opportunity to become experts on one area, should they challenge the leadership. However, such an analysis does overlook the necessity of appearance for the PM – both the party and the public would not tolerate an openly autocratic system, and as already stated, it was Thatcher’s over-exertion of control that led to her loss of power. Indeed, Blair became increasingly unpopular in his last years as PM, due to accusations of fostering a ‘sofa government’; former Cabinet member Mo Mowlam asserted that he in fact bypassed Cabinet entirely, and saw Cabinet meetings themselves as a farce in which the PM was always unquestionably supported. Thus although PMs may attempt to garner control through simply bypassing governmental bodies, under the eyes of the party and the public this cannot easily be done – whilst Blair exercised such domineering tactics, his popularity decreased. The prime minister arguably enjoys much more control over Parliament than the president does over Congress, regardless of personality. He may award members of parliament with prestigious appointments such as becoming chairman of the BBC, and can also demonstrate party discipline by using the party whips; conversely, appointments the president can offer are generally unwanted – and whereas the PM can use the whip, the president must instead persuade and cajole members of both parties. As such, the prime minister can assertively lead his party, an attribute aided by his being a member of the legislature and having a majority in Parliament; this is much unlike the president, who cannot be a member of the legislature and simultaneously hold office. Currently, with both the Senate and the House having a Democratic majority, Bush will be experiencing even more so the control Congress can exert over the president – indeed, in November 2007, Congress vetoed Bush for the first time, over a bill concerning water resources; and although the veto was foreseen, it serves as a stark contrast to the Republican friendliness Bush has enjoyed. In fact, this kind of scrutiny from the current Congress draws similarities to the shadow cabinet in Britain. Thus one can see that, regardless of personality, it is easier for a prime minister to keep government under his control. Therefore it would appear that indeed, the fundamental powers of a president or prime minister are somewhat dependent on personality or circumstance – yet to associate the two leaders as identical in this arena may be unwise. Indeed, when looking to their individual powers, differences are already evident – and this, coupled with a need for image and fortunate circumstances, can render the positions of both leaders as entirely different. A.T. |
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